(Brief Analysis on Myanmar transition 2010-2017)
Tunai gamthu paizia i et tak ciangin, gamthu lam ah akisaikha khempeuh (stakeholders) te amau’ mun ciat ah akikhausuhna un anini-in hong khauh semsem hi. Gamthu ah alangte uh azawh theihna dingun asiam tawp vua panla-in akimawlna khutma khemate uh damdamin hong kilangh toto ta hi.
Tua bang Kawlgam sung gamthu kikhelnate ah gamsung pan bek hilo aa gampua pan athahat gamte leh kipawlnate’ hong kisaina uh pan zong tampi kisai ahi hi. Gamthu kimawlna ah khat ciat in agualtungtuan nadingun, tulaitak gamsungah a om apawlpawl (group) leh gampua pan mahmah in khat-le-khat kisaituakna (power game) aneih laitak uh ahi hi.
KHUAHUN THAK (2010-2015)
2010 kum panin gambup ah kilaihna leh kalthak suanna (liberalization/transition) 2008 gambup thukhunpi tungtawnin galkap milui teng mah makaihna tawh hong kipankhia hi. Tua huzapin leitungbup thawn aa leitung minthang thukizakna te in, Kawlgam Khuakhal huih (Myanmar Spring) ci’n minvawh liangin leitungbup makaite in khutbetna tawh hong muak kawmin hong encik mahmah uh hi.
Tua hun panin hong kah President Thein Sein leh apawlte in tangkona nam (2) ahi, ahoih ki-ukna (good governance) leh asiangtho kumpi (clean government) mungtuppi nei-in hong kipan uh hi. 2010-2015 sungin thu hualpi (three waves) namthum masak uh hi. Tuate in, gamthu kikhelna (political change), sumlei sumzuakna lam kikhelna ( economical change) leh gambup kilem kikna (nationwide peace process) ahihi. Kum (5) sungin gamvai leh sumbawlna lamah zong kikhelna leh khantohna tampi hong piangsakzo veve uh aa, kilemna lamah zong gamsung leh gampua ah maitang kimuh kamkupna (dialogue) neizo uh ahih manin, kum (60) val sung gamsung tualgal te khiamzo uh hi. Ahizong, mipi nautang nasep guatna (job creation) tam neih zolo uh hi.
Leitungbup gam thahat nitumna leh nisuahna apawlpawlte in hong lunglut mahmah uh aa, huhna leh kamciamna tampi hong piak ban vuah leiba nangawn tampi hong maisak liang uh hi. Kizopna lam (communication) zong tampi kikhelna om ahih manin mikim phialin mobile phone tawizo-in internet zong ol zaw ta hi. Sumbawlna lam zong kikhelna tampi om toto-in, sumbawlna ah kumpi bekin lepcipna (nationalization) kalsuanziate damdam kilaihsak uh aa mipi tungah sumbawlna lam piakkikna (privatisation) hong bawl toto uh ahih manin tampitak lawhcinna om tham hi. Ahizongin, gamvai leh kilemna lam ah akisaikha khempeuh kihelkimna (all inclusive) omsakzo nailo uh aa sephuai tampi aseploh uh zong om veve hi.
NLD KUMPI (2015-2017 ???)
2015 gambup kiteelna khit ah hong kahthak NLD kumpi kikona bulpi ahih leh 2008 thukhunpi puah ding (2008 constitution amendment), gambup kilemkina (National Reconciliation and Peace process/Union Accord) leh mipi ki-ukna tawh kituak kibelpawlna diktak gam lamkik nading (Democratic Federal Union) ah mualsuahpih ding cih thu mungtuppi ahihi.
Gambup mipi in lametna lianpi/sangpi (high expectation) kinei hi. Ahizongin, NLD kumpi kumkhat cin khit ah lametna bangzo nailo hi. Abeisa Thein Sein hun bang sangin kikhelna tampi aziakai zong om-in lampi lui mah azuihna uh tampi 2015 kiteelpi khit gambup tanusem vaisaipite amungualhna (cabinet ministers) leh gamkee kumpi koihna (State/Region Government) te ah thanemna tampi om hi.
Abeisa Thein Sein kumpi’maban gambup kilemna khawmpi (Union Peace Conference-21st Century Panglong) nangawn lamet bangsakzo nailo hi. Mipi nautang te’lametna ahi nasep ngahna ding leh nuntak khuasak khantohna ding (job creation & social development) a lamethuai tamnailo hi. Gam kikhelnate ah kiginkholhna leh nasepsiamna (capacity building) omloh luatna hangin, tangpi tangta’dia nisim nuntak zonna ah khantoohna muibunzo nailo hi.
Gamvai leh kilemna vai ah zong UNO ii mawhpaihna leh etcikna om zeuhzeuh ban ah galkap makaite tawh NLD kihona zong lawhcinna omnailo hi. Gambup kilemna (Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement) zong mainawtzo nailo hi. Ahizongin, gammite khuazakzia (civil rights) tawm bang khantohna om sam hi.
Gamsung ah thukhun kizelhna (rule of law) gina zo nailo-in ngongtatna/kisuamna (crime) amunmun ah laang mahmah lai hi. Bangbang ahizongin, kumkhat apha pan NLD kumpi mawhpaih ding manlang lualai ahih man hungaih aa et toh lai ding hi.
* THUKHINKHAI KIKNA (CONCLUDING REMARKS)
Kawlgam pen leitung ah mimal tam penpen CHINA leh INDIA kikal ah om kiukeu in leisung sumpiang van manpha tawh kidim hi. Mailam ah leitung gamthahat ding (Rising Global Power) ahi Communist gam CHINA leh ASIA ah athahat Democracy gam INDIA (REGIONAL POWER/G20) te kikal, ASEAN kikal leh Super Power USA kikal ah pilvangtakin gamvai leh sumbawlna lam ah kilepsiam ding akisap hun ahihi.
Hih khuasung ah ZOMI te minamvai leh gamvai ah ikipumkhat pha mahmah ding leh pilvan ding athupit mah bangin gamsung mualmi makaite leh Kawlmi makaite in zong note leh kote (Us &Them) cih lungsim toi kiukiau tawh kigal saisai hun hi nawnlo-in 1947 kumin gambup aphutkhia pupite’ lungtup kibelpawlna gam diktak leh lianko kikimna ah ciahkikin kitaltangsikna (Confrontation) lampi nusiat hun hita hi. Pawlkhat bek in hamphat lawhin alang khat lawhsupna (Zero-Sum Game) gamvai ngeina hoihlo paih khiat hun ta-in, alangnih tuak lawhcinna (Non-Zero-Sum Game) tawh kamkup diamdiam ding hunhoih pen ahihi.
Gambup makaite leh mualmi makaite in hih gam thahat te’ kitawi tehna leh gamvai kikhau suhna kawmkal ah apilvan mahmah kei vua leh lawital nih kisikna kikal ah azan dikdek lopa/kiak tawh kibangin meetna omlo supna vive ikongbiang ah hong tung thei ding dinmun ahihi.
Ngaihsut Pulaak : Bob Tuangpi,
Tawmvei : Chicago (21.4.17)
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